NEWS: A. Lieven's "America
Right or Wrong"
Posted 13 July
2005
Anatol Lieven (a senior associate at the Carnegie
Endowment for International Peace, who has been a correspondent for The
Times of London, and has written for Foreign Affairs, The Atlantic
Monthly, et al.), has written an excellent and important book, America Right or Wrong: An Anatomy of American
Nationalism, which I recommend to you most strongly.
In this book, Lieven attempts to
understand what has been happening in post-September 11 America in
terms of American nationalism:
One way of looking at the United
States today is as a European state that has avoided the catastrophes
nationalism brought upon Europe in the twentieth century, and whose nationalism
therefore retains some of the power, intensity, bellicosity, and
self-absorption that European nationalisms have had kicked out of them by
history.
(This and all of the following
quotations are from an article by Levien in Current
History, which I have included in its entirety below, and which contains
many of the main themes of America Right or Wrong)
He understands American Nationalism as being a synthesis of
what he terms the thesis of “the American Creed,”:
a set of universalist ideological
and cultural principles that historically have included liberty, democracy,
law, egalitarianism, individualism, populism, laissez-faire economics, and
general "progress." Closely associated with these has been an almost
religious respect for American institutions, above all the Constitution. In
recent decades, to these principles have been added--in public at least--racial
equality and cultural pluralism. This is the creed of optimistic American
nationalism, in its wider sense.
and its antithesis, which he terms “Jacksonian
Nationalism,” which
stems from the aggrieved, defeated,
embittered, and defensive America...
Over time this tradition has forged alliances with sections of new white ethnoreligious groups that have brought to the United
States their own traditions of defeat, oppression, and consequent bellicosity:
in the past the Catholic Irish, more recently the Jews.
he compares the two strands of historical traditions,
Where the principles of the
American Creed are universalist, this "Jacksonian"
tradition stresses closed communities, historically defined by race, religion,
and ethnicity. Where the creed stresses democracy and justice--and more
recently, tolerance and pluralism--the "Jacksonian"
tradition has been characterized by ruthless violence against racial enemies,
both by American state forces and by groups spontaneously formed from local
society.
This tradition is also closely
linked to a religious fundamentalism that rejects key elements of modernity,
and is indeed largely premodern in much of its
culture. In a country that presents itself as the epitome of modernity, the
presence of seventeenth-century Protestant fundamentalists is, to put it
mildly, somewhat anomalous. The clash between these two cultures generates some
of the atmosphere of hatred in US domestic politics that in turn spills over
into American attitudes toward the outside world.
and he concludes,
American behavior since 9-11 may be
seen in terms of a synthesis between the American Creed and Jacksonian
nationalism, particularly when it comes to policy toward the Muslim world. A
curious mixture of chauvinism, imperial ambition, and idealism has driven the
policies of the Bush administration.
The book is available online from Amazon.com, and, apparently,
there is soon to be a paperback edition released. As mentioned above, I
am including below an article Levien wrote for Current
History, which includes some of the book’s main themes, if not much of the
book’s insightful analysis or richly detailed explorations. I’d suggest
you read the book, as I think it contains some extremely powerful and important
ways of thinking about the situation in America; but you should at a
minimum read the article, because it will at least raise some of the questions.
If you are interested, I also include the following link to a review of America
Right or Wrong by Timothy Snyder from The Times (of London) on 23 March
2005: http://www.the-tls.co.uk/this_week/story.aspx?story_id=2110335
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In the Mirror of Europe:
The Perils of American Nationalism
By Anatol Lieven
Reprinted with permission from Current History magazine (March
2004). Copyright 2004, Current History, Inc.
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One way of looking at the United States today is as a European
state that has avoided the catastrophes nationalism brought upon Europe in the
twentieth century, and whose nationalism therefore retains some of the power,
intensity, bellicosity, and self-absorption that European nationalisms have had
kicked out of them by history.
The nature and degree of American nationalism imperil both America's
global leadership and American success in the war against terrorism. More than
any other factor, it is this nationalism that at the start of the twenty-first
century divides the United States
from a postnationalist Europe.
One way of looking at the United States today is as a European state that has
avoided the catastrophes nationalism brought upon Europe in the twentieth
century, and whose nationalism therefore retains some of the power, intensity,
bellicosity, and self-absorption that European nationalisms have had kicked out
of them by history. Insofar as American nationalism has become mixed up with a
chauvinist version of Israeli nationalism, it also plays an absolutely
disastrous role in US relations with the Muslim world, and in fueling
terrorism.
America
enjoys more global power than any previous state. It dominates the world not
only militarily but also to a great extent culturally and economically, and
derives immense benefits from the present world system. Following the death of
communism as an alternative version of modernization, American "free
market" liberal democracy also enjoys global ideological hegemony.
According to all precedents, the United States should be behaving as
a conservative hegemon, defending the existing
international order and spreading its values by example.
Instead, it has been drawn toward the role of an unsatisfied and even
revolutionary power, smashing to pieces the hill of which it is the king. Why
did this country, which after the terrorist attacks of 9-11 had the chance to
lead an alliance of all the world's major states-including Muslims ones-against
Islamist revolutionary terrorism, choose instead to pursue policies that divided
the West, further alienated the Muslim world, and exposed America itself to
greatly increased danger? The answer can be found in the character of American
nationalism.
"Nationalism" has not been the usual prism through which this
American behavior has been viewed. Critics of the United States, at home and abroad,
have tended to focus on what has been called American "imperialism."
The United States
today does harbor important voices that can be called imperialist in their
outlook and aims. However, although large in influence, these people are
relatively few in number. They are to be found above all in overlapping
sections of the intelligentsia and the foreign policy and security
establishments, and even there they do not predominate.
Unlike large numbers of English, French, and others at the time of their
empires, the vast majority of ordinary Americans do not think of themselves as
imperialist, or as possessing an empire. As the aftermath of the Iraq War
appears to be demonstrating, they are also simply not prepared to make the
massive commitments and sacrifices necessary to maintain a direct American
empire in the Middle East and elsewhere.
Moreover, unlike previous empires, America's national identity is
founded on adherence to democracy. However imperfectly democracy may be
practiced at home and hypocritically preached abroad, this democratic faith
does set real limits on how far the United States can exert direct rule
over other peoples. The United States
has therefore been an indirect empire, resembling more closely the Dutch in the
East Indies in the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries than the British in India.
As far as the mass of the American people is concerned, this is still "an
empire in denial"; and in presenting its imperial plans to the American
people, the Bush administration has been careful to package them as something
else: as part of a benevolent strategy of spreading American values of
democracy and freedom; and as an essential part of the defense not of an
American empire, but of the American nation itself.
A great many Americans are not only intensely nationalistic, but bellicose in
their response to any perceived attack or slight against the United States:
"Don't Tread on Me!" as the rattlesnake on the American revolutionary
flag declared. Coupled with an intense national solipsism and ignorance of the
outside world, and with particular prejudices against Islam, this readiness to
find offense has allowed a catastrophic extension of the "war against
terrorism" from its original-and legitimate-targets in Al Qaeda and the
Taliban to embrace the Baathist regime in Iraq, and
possibly other countries in the future.
All this is genuinely believed by most Americans to be a matter of
self-defense. The United
States under George W. Bush is indeed
driving toward empire, but the domestic political fuel being fed into the
engine is that of a wounded and vengeful nationalism. After 9-11, this
sentiment is entirely sincere as far as most Americans are concerned and all
the more dangerous for that; in fact, to judge by world history, there is
probably no more dangerous element in the entire nationalist mix than a sense
of righteous victimhood. This sentiment in the past has helped wreck Germany, Serbia,
and numerous other countries, an is now in the process of wrecking Israel. The
instinctive aversion of most of the west European political and intellectual
elites to this kind of nationalism is perhaps the single most important
underlying factor driving European hostility to the Bush administration and its
policies, and to those of Israel
with regard to the Palestinians.
The dissatisfied nationalist
Why "nationalism" rather than "patriotism" as a description
of this phenomenon in America?
Curiously, part of the answer is provided by one of the fathers of the
neoconservative tradition in the United States, Irving Kristol, who wrote in Reflections of a Neoconservative:
"Patriotism springs from love of the nation's past; nationalism arises out
of hope for the nation's future, distinctive greatness…. The goals of American
foreign policy must go well beyond a narrow, too literal definition of
'national security.' It is the national interest of a world power, as this is
defined by a sense of national destiny."
In drawing this distinction, Kristol echoed a classic
argument by one of the great historians of nationalism, Kenneth Minogue. He defined patriotism as essentially conservative,
a desire to defend your country as it actually is. Nationalism is devotion to
an ideal, abstract, unrealized notion of your country, often coupled with a
belief in some wider national mission to humanity. In other words, nationalism
has always had a certain revolutionary edge to it. In America at the start of the twenty-first
century, there is certainly a very strong element of patriotism, of attachment
to American institutions and to America
as it is; but as Kristol's words indicate, there is
also a revolutionary element, a commitment to a messianic version of the nation
and its role in the world.
If this distinction is valid, then it must be acknowledged that nationalism,
rather than patriotism, is indeed the correct word for describing the
characteristic national feeling of Americans. This unsettling feature also
links the American nationalism of today to the "unsatisfied"
late-coming nationalisms of Germany,
Italy, and Russia rather
than the satisfied and status quo patriotism of the British. It helps explain
the strangely "unsatisfied" Wilhelmine air
of US
policy and attitudes at the start of the twenty-first century. (I am using
"unsatisfied" here in the sense that American commentators who fear
the growth of Chinese power portray that country as being hostile to the
"status quo" or the "balance of power" in the Far East. Such "unsatisfied" countries are
anxious to change the present to their own strategic benefit, rather than
simply defend their existing positions. Germany
in this sense was an "unsatisfied" power in the years before 1914,
while Britain
was a "satisfied" power.)
But if one strand of American nationalism is radical because it looks forward
to "the nation's future, distinctive greatness," another is radical
because it continuously looks backward, to a vanished and idealized national
past. This is the world of the Republican Right, and especially the Christian
Right, with its rhetoric of "taking back" America and restoring an older,
purer American society. This longstanding tendency in American culture and
politics reflects the continuing conservative religiosity of many Americans; it
has also, however, always been an expression of social, economic, and ethnic
anxieties.
Defeat in victory
In part, these anxieties stem from the progressive loss of control over society
by the "original" white Anglo-Saxon and Scots Irish populations,
later joined by others. Connected to this are class anxieties-in the past, the
hostility of the small towns and countryside to the new immigrant-populated
cities; today, the experience of economic decline by the traditional white
working classes. In America,
the supremely victorious nation of the modern age, large numbers of Americans
feel defeated. This helps give American nationalists their embittered,
mean-spirited, and defensive edge, so at variance with America's image
and self-image as a land of success, openness, wealth, and generosity.
This too is a very old pattern in various nationalisms worldwide. Historically,
in Europe at least, radical conservatism and
nationalism have generally stemmed from classes and groups in actual or
perceived decline as a result of socioeconomic change. One way of looking at
American nationalism, and America's
troubled relationship with the contemporary world that America dominates, is to understand that many
Americans are in revolt against the world that America itself has made.
Many middle-class Americans (especially from what in Europe
would be called the industrial working class) are deeply troubled by the
effects of globalization and the immigration that comes in its train.
Conservative religious Americans are appalled by the effects of modern American
mass culture on family life and traditional values.
Because of a deep-rooted (and partly justified) belief in American exceptionalism, as well as a decline in the study of
history in American academe, Americans are not accustomed to studying their
nationalism in a Western historical context. It is vitally important that they
begin to do so. For surely no sane person, looking at the history of
nationalist Europe in the century or so before 1945, would suggest that the United States
should voluntarily follow such a path. In particular, American nationalism is
beginning to come into serious conflict with any enlightened or even rational
version of American imperialism-that is, with the interests of the United States as the world hegemon
and heir to the roles of ancient Rome
and Chine within their regions.
A relatively benign version of indirect American imperial dominance is by no
means unacceptable to many people around the world-both because they often have
neighbors whom they fear more than America, and because their elites
increasingly are integrated into a global capitalist elite whose values are
largely defined by those of America. But American imperial power in the service
of narrow American nationalism is a very different matter, and an extremely
unstable base for hegemony. It involves power over the world without any
responsibility for global problems and without any responsiveness to others'
concerns-the power without responsibility defined by Rudyard Kipling as
"the prerogative of the harlot throughout the ages."
A nationalism that believes in the need to advance an uncompromising version of
perceived US
national interests in every international situation, and to prevail by means of
a more-or-less tough version of machtpolitik, would
be more appropriate to some struggling and "unsatisfied" lesser power
trying to scrabble its way to a higher level in the international heap.
Nationalism has already played a key role in preventing America from
taking advantage of the uniquely beneficent world-historical moment following
the fall of communism. Instead of using this moment to create a "concert
of powers" in support of capitalist growth and world stability, America has
been driven into a search for new enemies. This involved the attempt to portray
Russia as a continuing
threat to vital US
interests, and to advance China
to the role of a new cold war enemy. It is worth noting, however, that among
the neoconservatives, relatively few before 9-11 identified
"terrorism" as a major threat, because this did not fit into the cold
war paradigm of an enemy superpower.
Treason of the intellectuals
Nationalism may encourage its proponents to cultivate not only specific
national hatreds, but also hostility to all ideals, goals, movements, laws, and
institutions that aim to transcend the nation and speak for the general
interests of mankind. The Bush administration claims to be advancing these
general interests and principles in the Middle East, but this claim is
continually undermined by its contempt for the opinions and wishes of the great
majority of people in the region, its failure to take an even-handed stance
over the Israel-Palestinian conflict, and its wider hostility to international
institutions and world opinion. Calls for multilateralism are dubbed empty and
naïve when contrasted with the tough "realism" of the nationalists.
In 1928, Julien Benda wrote in La Trahison
des clercs (The Treason of the Intellectuals) of the
corruption of European intellectuals by nationalism, and in doing so warned of
still greater catastrophes to come: "I shall be told that during the past
fifty years…the attitude of foreigners to France was such that the most violent
national partiality was forced upon all Frenchmen who wished to safeguard the
nation, and that the only true patriots are those who have consented to this
fanaticism. I say nothing to the contrary; I only say that the intellectuals
who indulged in this fanaticism betrayed their duty, which is precisely to set
up a corporation whose sole cult is that of justice and truth…."
Nationalism risks undermining precisely those American values that make America most admired in the world, and that in
the end provide both a pillar for present American global power and the
assurance that future ages will look back on America as a benign and positive
leader of humanity.
This is not a matter of sentimental or naïve liberal humanism. The United States,
as unquestioned king of the international hill, has a truly vital national and
imperial interest in preserving the existing international order, and
strengthening it with new rules and conventions. Its ideologues like to cast America in the role of the British
Empire before World War I-the quintessential "satisfied
power" aiming at balance and stability. But to the rest of the world,
their policies make America
look more like a new version of Wilhelmine Germany, not an
upholder but an enemy of order. And as in the case of Germany before World War I, this posture risks
creating unnecessary hostile coalitions against the United States. Far from being
"realist," American nationalism in its attitude toward global
politics and policies is in fact unreal, and sometimes positively surreal.
The historical evidence of the dangers of unreflective nationalist sentiments
should be all to obvious, and remains all too relevant to US policy
today. Nationalism thrives on irrational hatreds and the portrayal of other
nations or ethnoreligious groups as congenitally,
irredeemably wicked and hostile. Yesterday this was true of the attitudes of
many American nationalists regarding Soviet Russia. Today it risks becoming the
case with regard to the Arab and Muslim worlds, and to a lesser extent with
regard to any country in the world that defies American wishes. Thus the run-up
to the war in Iraq saw an
astonishing explosion of chauvinism directed against France
and Germany.
This language was strongly reminiscent of old nationalist discourses that
portrayed national enemies and rivals as simultaneously malignant, treacherous,
weak, and effiminate.
In a striking essay in the September 2003 issue of Foreign Policy, Fouad Ajami unwittingly summed up
the central danger of chauvinist American nationalism for the United States
and the world, and also placed this nationalism squarely in the context of
nationalist history. The only specifically American aspect of his nationalist
expression is his own non-American origins-and even this would have been
entirely normal for great civilizational empires of
the past (including in aspiration at least the Soviet Union); they also did not
distinguish between the ethnic origins of their subjects as long as they served
the imperial state and accepted unreservedly the imperial ideology.
Ajami's essay ostensibly concerned anti-Americanism.
He dismissed out of hand the evidence of Pew, Gallup,
and other survey organizations showing that hostility to America had
mounted greatly as a result of the Bush administration's policies. Instead, Ajami argued, across the world-not just the Arab and Muslim
worlds, but across Europe, Asia, and Latin America-anti-Americanism is
congenital, ingrained, and a response to America's wealth, success, and
modernity, which is forcing other countries to change their systems. The essay
suggests that US policies are completely irrelevant, and the sympathy displayed
by France and other countries after 9-11 completely hypocritical: "To
maintain France's sympathy, and that of Le Monde, the United States would have
had to turn the other cheek to the murderers of Al Qaeda, spare the Taliban,
and engage the Muslim World in some high civilizational
dialogue. But who needs high approval ratings in Marseille?"
Ajami's argument was taken up in an even cruder form
in an article in November 2003 by leading right-wing commentator Charled Krauthammer in Time magazine, entitled simply
"To Hell With Sympathy." In this he both attacked "the
world" and sought to tar his domestic political opponents with the same
anti-American brush: "The world apparently likes the US when it is
on its knees. From that the Democrats deduce a foreign policy-remain on our
knees, humble and supplicant, and enjoy the applause and 'support' of the
world…. The search for logic in anti-Americanism is fruitless. It is in the air
the world breathes. Its roots are envy and self-loathing-by peoples who,
yearning for modernity but having failed at it, find their one satisfaction in
despising modernity's great exemplar. On September 11th, they gave it a rest
for one day. Big deal."
It should hardly be necessary to point out the essential falsity of these
arguments. How would the writers explain the shift in majority opinion in Britain between the war in Afghanistan (which public opinion strongly
supported) and the war in Iraq
(which it, like most other European publics, opposed)? Is British society also supposed
to be congenitally anti-American and an example of failed modernity? Or try
applying the logic of these arguments to other countries. Many Poles do not
much like Russians and probably never will, for old historical reasons. Does
this mean that Polish-Russian relations would be unaffected by new Russian
policies that Poland
saw as contemptuous and hostile? What about Turkey
and Greece?
Or Japan and South Korea?
These arguments-like all such nationalist discourses-are intended to free America from moral responsibility for the
consequences of its actions, and therefore to leave America free to do anything. To
this end, facts are falsified or ignored (for example, the strong support France gave the United
States in Afghanistan),
and usual standards of evidence suspended. Thus reputable opinion polls, used
as basic sources of reliable information in every other context, are suddenly
declared irrelevant-leaving national prejudice and an assumption of national
superiority as the only standards of judgement.
Other nations are declared to be irrationally, incorrigibly, and unchangingly
hostile. This being so, it is obviously pointless to seek compromises with them
or to try to accommodate their interests and views. And because they are
irrational and barbarous, America
is free to dictate to them or even conquer them for their own good. This is
precisely the discourse of nationalists in the leading European states toward
each other before 1914, which helped drag Europe
into the great catastrophes of the twentieth century. It was also a central
part of the old hideous discourse of anti-Semitism. But American chauvinists
like Krauthammer have given it a new twist. Nationalists in other countries
restrict their hostility to a limited number of other nations-and indeed, over
the years I have seen the assertion of incorrigible anti-Americanism applied to
Russians, Arabs, and Chinese as an excuse for America's adopting whatever
policies it likes toward them. But perhaps only in America could a serious and
influential political writer declare the world itself to be the mad enemy. And
this poisonous rubbish did not appear on some backwoods talk show, but in America's
leading news magazine.
The curious mixture
The optimistic thesis about America
that America
presents to itself and the rest of the world is based on what Gunnar Myrdal,
Samuel Huntington, and others have called the "American Creed": a set
of universalist ideological and cultural principles that historically have
included liberty, democracy, law, egalitarianism, individualism, populism,
laissez-faire economics, and general "progress." Closely associated
with these has been an almost religious respect for American institutions,
above all the Constitution. In recent decades, to these principles have been
added-in public at least-racial equality and cultural pluralism. This is the
creed of optimistic American nationalism, in its wider sense.
These principles are of inestimable value both to America and mankind. Along with the
appeal of American economic success and mass culture, they form the basis of
American "soft power" in the world-the power that attracts by example
rather than compels by force. On these principles rests America's role as a great civilizational
empire and heir to Rome, China, and the early Muslim
caliphate. They are what will remain of America
when America's power, and
even the United States,
have vanished. However, they also contain two immense flaws, which are indeed
implicit in the term "creed." The First is that they provide a
fertile seedbed for nationalist messianism. The
second is that, precisely because they are so universally held within America, they contribute to a national
conformism that both limits debate within America
and in some respects cuts America
off from the outside world.
The antithesis to the American Creed is the complex attitudes that some have
dubbed "Jacksonian nationalism," after the
populist and military hero President Andrew Jackson (1767-1845), and the
cultural, social, and ethnic worlds that have historically engendered these
attitudes. This is the world of the traditional white South and the Frontier,
and the groups that have adhered to this tradition over time. It stems from the
aggrieved, defeated, embittered, and defensive America
of which I have written, and of which I became aware during a stay in the deep
South of the United States
many years ago. Over time this tradition has forged alliances with sections of
new white ethnoreligious groups that have brought to
the United States their own traditions of defeat, oppression, and consequent
bellicosity: in the past the Catholic Irish, more recently the Jews.
Where the principles of the American Creed are universalist, this "Jacksonian" tradition stresses closed communities,
historically defined by race, religion, and ethnicity. Where the creed stresses
democracy and justice-and more recently, tolerance and pluralism-the "Jacksonian" tradition has been characterized by
ruthless violence against racial enemies, both by American state forces and by
groups spontaneously formed from local society.
This tradition is also closely linked to a religious fundamentalism that
rejects key elements of modernity, and is indeed largely premodern
in much of its culture. In a country that presents itself as the epitome of
modernity, the presence of seventeenth-century Protestant fundamentalists is,
to put it mildly, somewhat anomalous. The clash between these two cultures
generates some of the atmosphere of hatred in US domestic politics that in turn
spills over into American attitudes toward the outside world.
If the American Creed is affirmative and basically progressive, this other
tradition today is in many ways profoundly reactionary. Nonetheless, like many premodern cultures, it also embraces certain values of
undying importance that the rest of modern America is in danger of losing:
honesty, community, loyalty to family, hospitality, personal honor, dignity,
and courage. There is much to be said of a tradition that, well into the
twentieth century, could still speak of an "untarnished name" as the
greatest gift a father could leave to his son.
American behavior since 9-11 may be seen in terms of a synthesis between the
American Creed and Jacksonian nationalism,
particularly when it comes to policy toward the Muslim world. A curious mixture
of chauvinism, imperial ambition, and idealism has driven the policies of the
Bush administration. We have seen the co-option of parts of the formerly
internationalist America liberal intelligentsia by nationalism, and the role in
this co-option both of democratic messianism and in
some cases of a misplaced form of loyalty to Israel.
The question of a relationship between Israeli and American nationalism is one
I have avoided for most of my life and approach with the deepest reluctance. Unfortunately,
after 9-11 and the launch of the US "war against terrorism,"
avoidance of this issue is no longer possible for any honorable student of
American foreign and security policy. The question of US relations with the
Muslim world has obviously moved into the very center of US strategic concerns
and strategic planning; and Israeli policies, and the nature of the US alliance
with Israel, are in turn key to those relations. The issue is also increasingly
becoming a point of tension between the United States and its European allies.
The US-Israeli relationship, and Israeli influence in the
United States, have also played an important part in the wider growth of
nationalist attitudes in the United States in recent times, and in the
widespread evisceration of what used to be the progressive internationalist
intelligentsia in the United States. The gap between perceptions of the
Israeli-Palestinian conflict by most of the dominant US political, media, and
intellectual elites, and perceptions of this conflict by the rest of the world,
is simply immense.
This means that an American intellectual who does not wish to become a kind of
dissident in his or her won country is compelled to adopt some combination of
chauvinist nationalism and messianic belief in American that is so morally
superior to all other countries that its opinions naturally outweigh theirs (or
in former Secretary of State Madeleine Albright's words, that "America is
taller than other nations and therefore sees further"). The final and
perhaps most common option is simply to remain silent on the
Israeli-Palestinian issue. But this silence negates any attempt to discuss
US-Muslim relations or develop serious strategies for the "war against
terrorism." It also helps limit the internal policy debate in the United
States in ways highly reminiscent of the situation in other countries that have
experienced heightened nationalism.
Unlike in some other countries historically, chauvinist and bellicose
nationalism has not become the American norm. The strength of American
democratic values and institutions has given the United States in the past a
kind of self-correcting mechanism. Periods of intense popular and state
chauvinism such as McCarthyism have been followed by the US system's return to
a more or less tolerant and pluralist equilibrium.
There are good reasons to hope this also will be the case in the future. But
there are also two grounds for concern. The first is that the rise of
international Islamist terrorism means that, for the first time in almost two
centuries (the somewhat theoretical nuclear threat of the cold war excepted),
the American mainland is under real threat of massive attack, with everything
that this would mean for bellicose nationalism. September 11, 2001, knocked US
pluralist democracy off balance. Further attacks might increase the list still
further, and make it permanent.
The second doubt hangs over the future of the American economy. Of absolutely
critical importance in returning America to an even keel has been the US economy's
capacity to recover from its periodic crises, and over time to provide steadily
rising living standards to a large majority of Americans. Over the past four
decades, the decline of the old industrial economy, combined with the effects
of globalization, has thrown this historic capacity into question. For large
sections of the white middle classes-the constituency that in the end decides
America's political course-real incomes have stagnated or gone into decline,
even as mass immigration has resumed. Meanwhile the top section of American
society has become immeasurably richer. If this situation continues or worsens
in the decades to come, then the history of other nations and nationalisms
provides some truly sinister warnings about the possible consequences for
American pluralist democracy, as well as for America's international behavior.
On shooting bears
Those who find these warnings unconvincing might wish to ponder the
implications of Robert Kagan's views concerning
bears. These are to be found in Of Paradise and Power: America and Europe in
the New World Order; a justly famous essay on the differences between the
United States and Europe at the start of the twenty-first century. Much of Kagan's book is really about the stronger nationalist
culture of the United States, though he does not use this word. However, Kagan also attempts to explain this difference not
culturally, but through a realist prism. He analyzes how America's greater
military power, and Europe's weakness, supposedly determine their differing
behavior on the world stage.
"The differing psychologies of power and weakness," the passage in
question begins, "are easy to understand. A man armed only with a knife
may decide that a bear prowling the forest is a tolerable danger, inasmuch as
the alternative-hunting the bear armed only with a knife-is actually riskier
than lying low and hoping the bear never attacks. The same man armed with a
rifle, however, will likely make a different calculation of what constitutes a
tolerable risk. Why should he risk being mauled to death if he doesn't have to?
This perfectly normal human psychology has driven a wedge between the United
States and Europe."
It has not been sufficiently remarked how strange this passage is (the
exception is David Runciman in the April 3, 2003
London Review of Books). In many parts of North America, human beings and bears
share forests together without the humans feeling so terrified that they need
to exterminate the bears. If walking in the deep woods, sensible humans certainly
take a rifle; but they also attach bells to their clothing, to warn the bears
that they are coming and give them the chance to get out of the way so that
neither side intrudes on the other's vital space. The names of the rifle are
self-defense and prudence; the names of the bells are diplomacy and mutual
respect.
My argument should in no sense be read as a case against prudence and
self-defense. I strongly supported the war against Al Qaeda and the Taliban (as
well as the Gulf War of 1991), and continue to support the aims of the war
against terrorism as originally defined, and the participation in this war of
Britain and other American allies. I do not support an approach that creates
grossly inflated threats as an excuse for chauvinist nationalism at home and
abroad. This attitude toward the world will sooner or later leave the United
States with no worthwhile allies. Even in Britain, where affection for the
United States is deepest, the policies and the political culture of the Bush
administration have done terrible damage-not only in the population at large,
but even in the foreign policy establishment.
In place of this vision, I would like to see the America of today rediscover
some of the lessons that it learned for a while as a result of the Vietnam
War-though hopefully without having to lose tens of thousands of American lives
in the process. These lessons were taught not only by the American Left, but
also by profoundly conservative and realist Americans like George Kennan and
Senator J. William Fulbright. In his great critique of the impulses that drove
America into Vietnam, The Arrogance of Power (now out of print, and barely
known to younger educated Americans), Fulbright wrote that, "Only a nation
at peace with itself, with its transgressions as well as its achievements, is
capable of a generous understanding of others…. When a nation is very powerful
but lacking in self-confidence, it is likely to behave in a manner dangerous to
itself and to others. Feeling the need to prove what is obvious to everyone
else, it begins to confuse great power with total power and great
responsibility with total responsibility: It can admit of no error; it must win
every argument, no matter how trivial…. Gradually but unmistakably, America is
showing signs of that arrogance of power which afflicted, weakened, and in some
cases destroyed great nations in the past. In so doing, we are not living up to
our capacity and promise as a civilized example for the world. The measure of
our falling short is the measure of the patriot's duty of dissent."

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